Professional Documents
Culture Documents
On 09.02.2011
Shri. V E Dalvi
General Manager
Bank of Maharashtra
Integrated Risk Management
What is Bank Capital
• A bank balance sheet gives the financial conditions
of the bank.
• It consists of Assets and Liabilities
• Assets such as Loans which are income producing
items.
• Liabilities such as deposits which are what it owes
or sources of funds for Bank
• Capital:-It is defined as assets minus liabilities
4
But More Leverage means Higher Returns
• More leverage means higher risk, but also
higher returns for shareholders if the bank
remains solvent
• Assume interest received from Loans to be 10%
and interest paid on deposits to be 8%.
• In first case income will be Rs 100 and Cost of
Deposit will be Rs 40 so profit will be Rs 60. so
return on capital of Rs 500 is 12%
• In second case income will be Rs 100 and Cost
of Deposit will be Rs 72 so profit will be Rs 28.
so return on capital of Rs 100 is 28%
5
Who Regulates Bank Capital
• Bank Regulators of individual countries (RBI) do
not act alone in setting rules for bank capital.
They coordinate their capital regulation through
the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision
(BCBS)
7
Basel I vis-à-vis Basel II
Basel I Basel II
Focus on single risk More emphasis on banks’ own
measure internal risk management
methodologies, supervision
review and market discipline.
9
Elements of Capital
Tier I
– Paid up equity, statutory reserves
– Capital reserves
– Innovative perpetual debt instruments (IPDI)
– (max 15% of Tier I)
– Other instruments notified by RBI
Tier II
– Revaluation reserves
– General provisions and loss reserves
– (max 1.25% of RWA)
– Hybrid debt capital instruments (Upper Tier II)
– Subordinated debt (Lower Tier II)
– Surplus innovative perpetual debt Instruments
(IPDI) in excess of 15% taken in Tier I
10
Basel II Pillars
Basel II framework rests on 3 mutually reinforcing
pillars which are :
13
Capital Charge : Credit Risk STD Approach
RW for Domestic Sovereign - Central Govt. DICGC = 0%
State Govt. and ECGC cover = 20%
RW for Claims on Corporate /PSEs
Short term Rating P1+ P1 P2 P3 P4 & P5 UR
Domestic Long AAA AA A BBB BB & UR
Term Rating Below
Risk Weight 20 % 30 % 50 % 100 % 150 % 100%
RW for Regulatory Retail 75%
RW for Banks: Linked to CRAR if <9% 20%
Housing Loans 50% to 125% LTV > or <=75% and
amount of Loan is <Rs.30 lakh, < 30lakh to 75 Lakh and <75 lakh
Consumer Loans, Capital Market Exposure= 125%
Staff Loans 20%
14
What is Risk Management
Basic Elements of the Risk Management
• Identifying the Risk
• Quantifying/Measuring the Risk
• Controlling the Risk &
• Managing the Risk.
15
Types of Risk &
Risk profile of Bank/FI
Various Types Of
Risks
Other Risks
Op. Risk
• Credit Risk Liq. Risk
• Market Risk
Mkt. Risk Credit Risk
• Liquidity Risk
• Operational Risk
16
Objectives of Risk
Management
TO optimize the Risk Adjusted Returns
and not to minimize the absolute Risk.
17
What is Credit Risk?
• Credit risk is a risk resulting from uncertainty
in a counterparty’s ability or willingness to
meet its contractual obligations.
• Credit risk is the probability of losses
associated with changes in the credit quality
of borrowers or counterparties.
• These losses could arise due to outright
default by counterparties or due to
deterioration in credit quality even when
default has not taken place
18
Why should Banks be concerned
with Credit Risk?
Nature of Loan Returns
Borrower A has been sanctioned a term loan of Rs
10 crore, for 1 year at 10% rate of interest (annual)
Upside gain
• If A does not default
Rs 11.00 lcrore at the end of 1 year
is limited
of the principal
19
Why should Banks be concerned
with Credit Risk
Skewed nature of loan returns
• Loan returns are highly asymmetric since there is limited
upside
• If borrower’s credit quality improves - no benefit to
lending bank since the borrower can refinance his loan
at a lower rate
• If borrower’s credit quality declines - bank is not
compensated for taking the additional risk since loan
price is not revised
• If borrower defaults - accrued interest is reversed and
any new payments are towards principal
• If borrower becomes NPA - minimal recovery
20
Risk Identification
Elements of Credit Risk
Credit Risk
25
Exposure ceilings - Sectors
No Particulars Exposure not to exceed
1. Real Estate Sector- 30% of Gross Credit
of which
a) Housing Loans to Individuals 12.5% of Gross Credit
b) Comm. Real Estate 7.5% of Gross Credit
c) Indirect Real Estate 10% of Gross Credit
2 Shares, Debentures and Bonds 10% of Net Worth
3 Advances to Stock brokers 10% of Net Worth
4 Advances to NBFCs /NBFIs 20% of Gross Credit
of which
Housing Finance Companies 10% of Gross Credit
NBFC – ND - SI 2% of Gross Credit
All Other ( NBFC- D, AFC, 8% of Gross Credit
Factoring and other activities) 26
Exposure ceilings - Sectors
No Particulars Exposure not to exceed
5 Infrastructure 25% of Gross Credit
of which
a) Power Sector 10% of Gross Credit
b) Roads incl. Highways 5% of Gross Credit
c) Telecommunication 3% of Gross Credit
d) Residual Infrastructure 7% of Gross Credit
Activities
6 Any other sector 10% of Gross Credit
7 Non Fund Business 30% of Gross Credit
8 Unsecured Exposure 35% of Gross Credit
(excluding Food Credit and
Staff Schematic advances) 27
Exposure ceilings - Industries
No Particulars Exposure not to exceed
1 Sugar Industry 2% of the Gross Credit
2 Advances to Film Industry 1% of the Gross credit
(Cinema Theatre etc.)
Exposure ceilings:
Indian Joint ventures/wholly owned subsidiaries abroad:
Not to exceed 20% of unimpaired capital funds
(Tier I and Tier II capital).
28
What is Credit Risk Rating
29
Credit Risk Rating
It helps in-
• Evaluation of borrower on the basis of certain
parameters (Outcome: Degree of reliability & risk)
• Credit selection / rejection (Entry level rating –
Benchmark rating)
• Activity-wise/ sector-wise portfolio study keeping in
view the macro-level position.
• Estimating concentration risk within a portfolio
• Deciding concentration limit and exposure limit
• Deciding exit point of syndicated loans
30
Credit Risk Rating Models
32
CRR Model - Risk parameters
• Financial Risk
– Assessment of Financial Statements
– Past Financial Performance
– Future risk
– Cash Flow adequacy (Projected)
• Account Operating Risk
– Security Coverage
– Conduct of the account
– Observance of financial discipline
– Maturity risk
33
CRR Model - Risk parameters
• Management Risk
– Ownership Experience & Competence
– Track record
– Corporate Governance
• Industry Risk
– Industry Characteristics
– Competitive forces within the industry
– Industry financials
34
CRR Model - Risk parameters
• Business Risk
– Market Position
– Operating Efficiency
– Growth
• Project Risk (For Project Loan only)
– Timeliness in completion of the project
– Cost escalation of the project
– Funding arrangement for cost escalation
– Achievement of production target
– Deficiency in management of the project
– Repayment period of loan (Excluding Moratorium
Period)
35
Rating Migration
During the period of 12 months
Rating AAA AA A BBB BB B C Default Total
B 20 20 40 20 50 50 80 70 350
AAA 90% 5% 4% 1%
38
Measuring credit Risk
Formulation of Credit risk models
39
Measuring credit Risk
Formulation of Credit risk models
42
What is Market Risk
• Market Risk is the possibility of loss to
the bank caused by changes in market
variables such as Interest Rate, FEX
Rate, Equity Price and Commodity
price
Loss arises in two ways
• Loss to the earnings and
• Decline in the economic value of the
assets.
43
Market Risk Management
• Market risk involves management of
risk in following areas as under
Liquidity Risk
• Interest Rate Risk
• Foreign Exchange Risk
• Equity Price Risk &
• Commodity Price Risk
44
Liquidity Risk
Liquidity means
• Ability of bank to honor the
commitments as and when it falls
due.
• Bank’s inability to honor the
commitments to meet the liquidity is
called Liquidity Risk
45
Types of Liquidity risks
• Funding Risk
Need to replace net outflows due to unanticipated
withdrawal/non-renewal of deposits
• Time Risk
Need to compensate for non-receipt of expected
inflows of funds- NPAs
• Call Risk
Due to crystallisation of contingent liabilities &
needs of new business
46
Liquidity Risk Management
• Liquidity Risk is measured through
Structural Liquidity Statement and Short
Term Dynamic Statement.
• Liquidity Risk is managed through Asset
Liability Management.
• ALCO is the Committee who monitored
and managed liquidity by deciding on the
requirement of funds by changing interest
rates on assets and liabilities.
47
Structural Liquidity Statement
Outflow Day 2 to 7 8-14 15-28 29d 3-6 6-12 1 -3 3-5 total
1 days days days -3m mt mths yr yr
Borrowin 2 3 5 10
Total 7 13 20 20 30 20 100 100 100 410
Inflow
Loans 2 8 10 15 25 10 50 80 100 300
Invest 2 3 5 10 10 5 10 50 50 145
50
Interest Rate Risk
52
Interest Rate Risk
Gap/Mismatch Risk
• It arises on account of holding rate
sensitive assets and liabilities with different
principal amounts, maturity/repricing rates
• Even though maturity dates are same, if
there is a mismatch between amount of
assets and liabilities it causes interest rate
risk and affects NII
53
Interest Rate Risk
Gap Report
54
Interest Rate Risk
Basis Risk
• Basis risk occurs when interest rates of
different assets and liabilities move in
different magnitudes
56
Interest Rate Risk
Price Risk
57
Interest Rate Risk
Reinvestment Risk
• It is difficult to correctly predict the
interest rates at which future cash
flows will be invested. This uncertainty
causes reinvestment risk
61
IRR Management - Rising
Interest Rate Scenario
• Reduce investment portfolio maturities
• Increase floating rate assets
• Increase short-term assets
• Increase long-term
deposits/borrowings
• Sell fixed rate assets
62
Operational Risk
• WHAT if suddenly ATMs stopped vending
crisp notes, bank branches closed for few
days, the data centre of major banks shut
down, busy operations in dealing rooms of
major banks come to a halt and banking
personnel don't reach their offices.
63
What is Operational Risk?
Basel II has defined operational risk as “
the risk of loss resulting from inadequate
or failed internal processes, people and
systems or from external events”. Basel II
has clarified that OR includes legal risk
but specifically excludes strategic and
reputational risks.
64
Definition of Operational Risk
Causal Categories:
Employee Behaviour
Potential or Corporate Behaviour
Forward looking Information
Technology
External Environment
or
external events
internal processes,
people & systems Inadequate collateral
management
External Fraud, Unenforceable documentation
Fire, Flood,
“People and systems” in Legal action,
the regulatory definition Tax,
are captured in internal Regulations,
process Terrorism
65
Scope of Operational Risks
66
Basel II definition-
Analysing specific risks: People Risk
• Employee fraud ( collusion, embezzlement, theft,
programming fraud)
• Unauthorized activity ( insider trading, misuse of
privileged information, limit breach, incorrect models-
intentional, aggressive selling tactics, ignoring/short
circuiting procedures ( deliberate)
• Employment practices and workplace
safety-(employee turnover, loss of key personnel,
motivation, leave /absence from work, wrongful termination,
discrimination/harassment, non-adherence to employment
laws, workforce disruption, lack of suitable personnel)
67
Basel II definition-
Analysing specific risks: Process Risk
• Transaction risk- Payment/settlement /delivery risk- failure
of /inadequate payment/settlement processes, losses through
reconciliation failure, delivery errors
69
Basel II definition-Analysing specific risks:
Risk from External Events
• Legal liability- breach of law, misrepresentation,
etc.
• Criminal activities- external frauds, robberies,
money laundering, physical damage to property
caused by vandalism, arson
• Outsourcing risk- inadequate contract, delivery
failure( ontime, quality service), inadequate mgt of
service providers, bankruptcy of supplier, misuse of
confidential data, etc.
• Disasters - earthquakes, floods, fire, transport
failure, energy failure, external telecommunication
failure, etc.
70
Benefits of Operational Risk
Management
• Improve operating efficiency
• Reduce earning volatility
• Improve reputation
• Advance the external rating
• Enhance the performance measurement by linkage to
risk sensitivity
• Proper Capital Allocation
71
ORM framework under Basel II
2) Standardized Approach
72
Basel II - 3 methodologies for estimation of
Minimum Capital Requirement
From 31.03. 2009 BIA has been adopted by all banks in India