Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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j The resistance is from Pashtun population only
r Taliban, ekmatyar, aqqani-
j
r mass migration of population
r international support and recognition
of anti-coalition resistance militia (ACM)!
r training camps and base areas for
resistance in Pakistan
r weapons, ammunition or logistical
supply line from Pakistan
r regular supply of fresh fighters from Pakistan as resistance is mostly based
inside Afghanistan
p. m
j p.
r remains foreign forces, alien to local
culture, language and terrain
r also relying on local collaborators who
remain unreliable and weak
r forces on weak moral ground, not willing
to die for the cause
r ACM remain on high moral ground,
fighting to liberate their lands, willing to
take risk and die!
j p
/
j
p"0
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p. m
j The area was cleared in less than two months in a classic counter insurgency
operation which is now stuff of the legends and movies are being made on it!
j The entire population of 3 million moved back into the valley immediately after
the operation and now Swat is cleared and being rebuilt rapidly
j The most successful counter insurgency operation ever in the world
p.
j Occupation force ʹ hated by insurgency j Not willing to die- Emphasis is on survival
and common man alike- Latest riots in and use of technology, causing more
Mazaar Shareef against UN are ample collateral damage making them more
example unpopular!
j Relying on unreliable Afghans who have j Barking up the wrong tree
no roots in population ʹ wrong threat analysis
j Occupation forces alien to local ʹ blaming Pakistan for their failures instead
language, culture, tribes and terrain of addressing the issues inside Afghanistan
fighting a war without objectives, goals ʹ North Waziristan has nothing to do with
and no high moral ground- Morale is wars in Kandahar or elmand, the fiercest
lowest battlefields
p. ¦ V
j War Cost crippling the economy at home
j NATO supplies remain vulnerable in
Pakistan ʹ the weakest and most
vulnerable link in the logistical support
j Taliban remain flushed with money as
NATO and drug lords pays them for safe
transit of convoys and drug
consignments- Weapons and
ammo come from robbing NATO
supplies, Afghan army pilferage,
and open black market in tribal
areas and central Asia and Iran
p.
j All signs are that the fate of the
present occupation forces
would be identical to Soviets
j Soviet Union saw the defeat too
late, signed the Geneva accord
and tried to find an exit but the
staggering cost of the war
destroyed the Soviet empire
j Present occupation forces are
still not negotiating an exit, still
feel they can win the war and
have still not learnt from the 10
years of this present conflict
p.
j Pashtun resistance remains j Pakistan or the Pakistani tribals
decentralized and dispersed in are still not supporting the
various separate groups in Pashtun resistance nor providing
regions from Kunar in north East any base areas or supplies but
to elmend in south East, with things can change in future if
pockets all over the country ʹ Pashtuns are persecuted in
making it almost impossible to Afghanistan or TTP insurgency
strike at the centre of gravity or continue to get support from
to decapitate the resistance Afghanistan- Relations between
ISI and CIA are most tense and
almost at rock bottom these
days-
p.
j I es erati , f rce is ei g se
re i iscri i ately ca si g re
a re civilia cas alties ʹ creati g
re atre eve it i - as t
gr s- ll t e sig s are t at Tajik a
z ek gr s l als j i t e
resista ce i rt er regi s
j esista ce is tryi g t get S ͛s-
ssia lack arket r Ira r eve
i a c l r vi e- T at l ea
ga e c a ger!
j cc ati f rces s l rk a
seri s exit la a start t talk it
t e as t resista ce
j T e arzai regi e as f t re