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The Democratization of Entrepreneurship

Steve Blank
Stanford - School of Engineering

www.steveblank.com
Twitter: @sgblank

This Presentation Combines

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A Few Short Stories

Startup Constraints

High Cost to First Product

Startup Constraints

Buy expensive workstations


Buy expensive development tools

High Cost to First Product

Long Time to First Product


Startup Constraints

Use Waterfall Development


First Customer Ship in months/years

High Cost to First Product


Long Time to First Product Startup Constraints

Slow Customer Adoption

Customers Govt/Businesses
# of customers - hundreds/thousands

High Cost to First Product


Long Time to First Product Startup Constraints Slow Customer Adoption

High Startup Failure Rate

Startups are small versions of large companies Focus is on execution of business plan

High Cost to First Product


Long Time to First Product Startup Constraints Slow Customer Adoption High Startup Failure Rate

Limited Number of Venture Capitalists

3000 Sand Hill Road

High Cost to First Product


Long Time to First Product

Innovation Limited to a Few Regions


Limited Number of Venture Capitalists

Startup Constraints Slow Customer Adoption High Startup Failure Rate

3000 Sand Hill Road Menlo Park, California

High Cost to First Product


Long Time to First Product Innovation Limited to a Few Regions Startup Constraints Slow Customer Adoption High Startup Failure Rate Limited Number of Venture Capitalists

Theres Something Happening Here, What It Is Aint Exactly Clear

Startup Constraints Entrepreneurial Explosion

Low Cost to 1st Product

Entrepreneurial Explosion

Develop on inexpensive PCs/Macs


Use Open Source Software

Low Cost to First Product

Short Time to First Product


Entrepreneurial Explosion

Use Agile Development


First Customer Ship in weeks/months

Low Cost to First Product


Short Time to First Product Entrepreneurial Explosion

Fast Customer Adoption

Customers Consumers
# of customers - millions

Low Cost to First Product


Short Time to First Product Entrepreneurial Explosion Fast Customer Adoption

Lower Startup Failure Rate

Startups are not small versions of large companies Focus is on Search for a business model

Low Cost to First Product


Short Time to First Product Entrepreneurial Explosion Fast Customer Adoption Rate Lower Startup Failure Rate

Large Pool of Risk Capital

Sand Hill Road

Low Cost to First Product


Short Time to First Product Entrepreneurial Explosion Fast Customer Adoption Rate Lower Startup Failure Rate Large Pool of Risk Capital

Global Innovation

Menlo Park, San Francisco New York, Shanghai, Israel, Chile, Singapore

Low Cost to First Product


Short Time to First Product Global Innovation

This talk
Fast Customer Adoption Rate Large Pool of Risk Capital

Entrepreneurial Explosion

Lower Startup Failure Rate

Not All Startups Are Equal

Small Business Startups

Startup

Small Business

Serve known customer with known product Feed the family

Small Business Startups

Startup

Small Business Exit Criteria - Business Model found - Profitable business - Existing team < $1M in revenue

known customer known product Feed the family

Small Business Startups

Startup

Small Business
- Business Model found

- Profitable business - Existing team < $10M in revenue

5.7 million small businesses in the U.S. <500 employees 99.7% of all companies ~ 50% of total U.S. workers
http://www.sba.gov/advo/stats/sbfaq.pdf

Large Company Sustaining Innovation


Sustaining Innovation
Scalable Startup Transition Large Company

Existing Market / Known customer Known product feature needs

Large Company Disruptive Innovation

New Division

Transition

Large Company

Disruptive Innovation
New Market New tech, customers, channels

Large Company Disruptive Innovation

New Division

Transition

Large Company

Build Acquire - Talent - Product - Customers - Business

Disruptive Innovation

Scalable Startup
Search
Scalable Startup Large Company

Goal is to solve for: unknown customer and unknown features

Scalable Startup
Search
Scalable Startup Execute Large Company

Exit Criteria - Business model found - Total Available Market > $500m -$1B - Can grow to $100m/year

Scalable Startup
Search
Scalable Startup
- Total Available Market > $500m - Company can grow to $100m/year - Business model found - Focused on execution and process - Typically requires risk capital

Execute Large Company

In contrast a scalable startup is designed to grow big Typically needs risk capital What Silicon Valley means when they say Startup

Whats A Startup?
Scalable Startup
Large Company

- Business

Model found - i.e. Product/Market fit - Repeatable sales model - Managers hired

A Startup is a temporary organization used to search for a scalable and repeatable business model

What VCs Dont Tell You: The Transition

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Search

Build

Execute

What VCs Dont Tell You: The Transition Founders Leave

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Founders depart - CEO = Operating Exec - Professional Mgmt - Process - Beginning of scale
-

Whats A Startup?
Scalable Startup
Large Company

Transition

- Business

Model found - i.e. Product/Market fit - Repeatable sales model - Managers hired

You fail if you stay a startup

Why Startups Are Not Small Versions of A Large Company

Startups Search and Pivot

The Search for the Business Model

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Business Model found by founders - customer needs/product features found i.e. Product/Market fit - Repeatable sales model - Managers hired

Startups Search, Companies Execute


The Search for the Business Model

The Execution of the Business Model

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

- Business Model found - Product/Market fit - Repeatable sales model - Managers hired

- Cash-flow

breakeven

- Profitable - Rapid scale - New Senior Mgmt ~ 150 people

Metrics Versus Accounting

The Execution of the Business Model

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Traditional Accounting - Balance Sheet - Cash Flow Statement - Income Statement

Metrics Versus Accounting

The Search for the Business Model

The Execution of the Business Model

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Startup Metrics - Customer Acquisition Cost - Viral coefficient - Customer Lifetime Value - Average Selling Price/Order Size - Monthly burn rate - etc.

Traditional Accounting - Balance Sheet - Cash Flow Statement - Income Statement

Customer Validation Versus Sales

The Execution of the Business Model

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Sales - Sales Organization - Scalable - Price List/Data Sheets - Revenue Plan

Customer Validation Versus Sales

The Search for the Business Model

The Execution of the Business Model

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Customer Validation - Early Adopters - Pricing/Feature unstable - Not yet repeatable -One-offs

Sales - Sales Organization - Scalable - Price List/Data Sheets - Revenue Plan

Engineering Versus Agile Development

The Execution of the Business Model

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Engineering - Requirements Docs. - Waterfall Development - QA - Tech Pubs

Engineering Versus Agile Development


The Search for the Business Model
The Execution of the Business Model

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Agile Development - Continuous Deployment - Continuous Learning - Self Organizing Teams - Minimum Feature Set - Pivots

Engineering - Requirements Docs. - Waterfall Development - QA - Tech Pubs

Startups Model, Companies Plan


The Execution of the Business Model

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Business Plan - describes knowns - features - customers/markets - business model

Startups Model, Companies Plan

The Search for the Business Model

The Execution of the Business Model

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

- Business

Model - describes unknowns - customer needs - feature set - business model - found by iteration

- Plan describes knowns


- Known features for line extensions - Known customers/markets - Known business model

How Do Startups Search For A Business Model?

The Search is called Customer Development The Implementation is called Agile Development

Customer Development

Why Startups Fail

More startups fail from a lack of customers than from a failure of product development

Product Introduction Model:


Two Implicit Assumptions
Customer Problem: known
Concept/ Seed Round Product Dev. Alpha/Beta Test Launch/ 1st Ship

Product Features:

known

Tradition Hire Marketing

Concept/ Seed Round

Product Dev.
- Create Marcom Materials - Create Positioning

Alpha/Beta Test
- Hire PR Agency - Early Buzz

Launch/ 1st Ship


- Create Demand - Launch Event - Branding

Marketing

Tradition Hire Sales

Concept/ Seed Round

Product Dev.
- Create Marcom Materials - Create Positioning

Alpha/Beta Test
- Hire PR Agency - Early Buzz

Launch/ 1st Ship


- Create Demand - Launch Event - Branding Build Sales Organization

Marketing

Sales

Hire Sales VP Hire 1st Sales Staff

Tradition Hire Bus Development

Concept

Product Dev.
- Create Marcom Materials - Create Positioning

Alpha/Beta Test
- Hire PR Agency - Early Buzz

Launch/ 1st Ship


- Create Demand - Launch Event - Branding Build Sales Channel / Distribution

Marketing

Sales Business Development

Hire Sales VP Pick distribution Channel Hire First Bus Dev

Do deals for FCS

Tradition Hire Engineering

Concept

Product Dev.
- Create Marcom Materials - Create Positioning

Alpha/Beta Test
- Hire PR Agency - Early Buzz

Launch/ 1st Ship


- Create Demand - Launch Event - Branding Build Sales Channel / Distribution

Marketing

Sales Business Development Engineering


Write MRD

Hire Sales VP Pick distribution Channel Hire First Bus Dev Waterfall Q/A

Do deals for FCS

Tech Pubs

How Startups Succeed

Customer Development
The founders
^ Get

Out of the Building

Customer Development
Product Development
Concept/ Bus. Plan Product Dev. Alpha/Beta Test Launch/1st Ship

+
Customer Development

Customer Discovery

Customer Validation

Customer Creation

Company Building

Pivot

Customer Discovery

Customer Discovery

Customer Validation

Customer Creation

Company Building

Test your business model hypotheses Continuous Discovery Done by founders

No Business Plan survives first contact with customers

So Search for a Business Model

The Business Model:


Any company can be described in 9 building blocks

CUSTOMER SEGMENTS

which customers and users are you serving? which jobs do they really want to get done?

VALUE PROPOSITIONS

what are you offering them? what is that getting done for them? do they care?

CHANNELS

how does each customer segment want to be reached? through which interaction points?

CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS

what relationships are you establishing with each segment? personal? automated? acquisitive? retentive?

REVENUE STREAMS

what are customers really willing to pay for? how? are you generating transactional or recurring revenues?

KEY RESOURCES

which resources underpin your business model? which assets are essential?

KEY ACTIVITIES

which activities do you need to perform well in your business model? what is crucial?
82

KEY PARTNERS

which partners and suppliers leverage your model? who do you need to rely on?

COST STRUCTURE

what is the resulting cost structure? which key elements drive your costs?

key activities

value proposition

customer relationships

key partners

customer segments

cost structure

key resources

revenue streams channels


images by JAM
85

Turning Hypotheses to Facts

Test Hypotheses: Product Market Type Competition

Test Hypotheses: Problem Customer User Payer

Test Hypotheses: Channel

Test Hypotheses: Channel (Customer) (Problem)

Test Hypotheses: Product Market Type Competitive

Test Hypotheses: Demand Creation

Test Hypotheses: Problem Customer User Payer

Test Hypotheses: Channel

Test Hypotheses: Size of Opportunity/Market Validate Business Model

Test Hypotheses: Pricing Model / Pricing

Test Hypotheses: Channel (Customer) (Problem)

Agile Development

Test Hypotheses: Product Market Type Competitive

Test Hypotheses: Demand Creation

Test Hypotheses: Problem Customer User Payer

Customer Development Team

Test Hypotheses: Channel

Test Hypotheses: Size of Opportunity/Market Validate Business Model

Test Hypotheses: Pricing Model / Pricing

Test Hypotheses: Channel (Customer) (Problem)

Agile Development

Test Hypotheses: Product Market Type Competitive

Test Hypotheses: Demand Creation

Test Hypotheses: Problem Customer User Payer

Customer Development Team

Test Hypotheses: Channel

Test Hypotheses: Size of Opportunity/Market Validate Business Model

Test Hypotheses: Pricing Model / Pricing

The Minimum Viable Product (MVP)

Smallest feature set that gets you the most


orders, learning, feedback, failure

MVP + Customer are the first two you need to nail MVP is just 1 of the 9 parts of your model

The Pivot

The heart of Customer Development

Iteration without crisis Fast, agile and opportunistic

Wrap Up
Startup are not small versions of large companies Traditional big company planning tools fail Startups are built on hypotheses
You need to test each one of them Business Models help you keep score Customer Development is how you test hypotheses

Why Startups Arent Run By Accountants

Inventor of the Modern Corporation

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Inventor of the Modern Corporation

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Alfred P. Sloan

Alfred P. Sloan

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

General Motors, President/Chairman - Cost Accounting - MIT Sloan School - Sloan Foundation - etc.

Founder of General Motors

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Founder of General Motors

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Billy Durant

Billy Durant

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

- Leader in horse-drawn buggys - Fired by board, starts Chevrolet - Regains control of GM - Fired by board, GM ~$3.6 billion*

* GM

Net sales in 1921 $304.5M = $3.6 Billion today

Durant Versus Sloan

Scalable Startup

Transition

Large Company

Durant Versus Sloan

Dies, rich, honored and famous

Durant Versus Sloan

Dies managing a bowling alley

Dies, rich, honored and famous

Durant Versus Sloan


Accountant
Dies managing a bowling alley
Dies, rich, honored and famous

You are here


Scalable Startup Transition Large Company

Thanks
www.steveblank.com

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