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Stagnant Investment
(gross fixed capital formation, % of GDP)
Stagnant Investment (gross fixed capital formation, % of GDP)
50
45
40
35
30 25 20 15 10 5
0
Indonesia
Malaysia
Philippines
Thailand
Vietnam
1960 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
14 October 2011
1980 - 2007
1990 - 2000
2000 - 2007
Philippines
10,000
5.0
6,000
Thailand
4.0 4.0 3.8 3.4 3.5 3.3 2.7 2.2 2.0 2.0
4,500
THA
7,500
3.0
Malaysia (RHS)
2.9 2.6
3,000
PHI
5,000
1,500
INO
2,500
1.0 0.4
0.6
0
1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007
0.0
14 October 2011
2,000
14,000 12,000
1,500
10,000
1,000
8,000 6,000
500
4,000 2,000
PRC Taipei,China
0
Indonesia Malaysia Thailand Philippines
Korea
India
0
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Philippines PRC
14 October 2011
Chronic problems
High unemployment
(% of total labor force)
12 10
8 6 4 2 0
1982 1984 1988 1990 1996 2002 2004
20
2008
1980 1986 1992 1994 1998 2000 2006
12.3 7.8
11.5
PRC
Indonesia
Malaysia
Philippines
Thailand
Viet Nam
14 October 2011
Service-led growth
% Contribution to GDP Growth: 1980-2008
100
11.4 7.2 7.1 8.6 11.7 9.6
80
38.5 43.5 66.6 43.2 61.9 43.5
60
40
50.1
20 0
49.4 26.3
48.3 26.5
46.9
INO
14 October 2011
MAL
PHI
THA
IND
PRC
Industry
Services
Agriculture
Investment Climate
MAJOR POSITIVE FACTORS Stable Macroeconomic Environment: - Fiscal consolidation program - Low inflation - Healthy banking system - Ample Liquidity Robust BOP Position: - Stable and growing inflow of remittances - High international reserves - Modest external debt Favorable Demographics: - Young population - Relatively well skilled - English speaking population Location Advantages: - Gateway to emerging Asia - Well positioned to benefit from emerging Asian giant economies - ASEAN economic integration Prominent Success Stories: - From coconut chips to computer chips story of the electronics industry - Spectacular growth of BPO industry - Liberalized telecom sector MAJOR NEGATIVE FACTORS Challenging Governance: - Weak institutions - Red-tape; corruption - Lack of policy predictability, continuity, and coordination (also between NG and LGUs) - Weaknesses in legal and regulatory processes and institutions Regulatory risks in PPPs Labor laws Lack of holistic competition protection and promotion framework Contract enforcement Inadequate Infrastructure - Expensive and unreliable electric power - High road and maritime transport costs due to specific sector policies and poor quality of road network and port infrastructure - Low infrastructure investment by the government (fiscal constraints) and by private sector (due to high risks) Security Concerns in Southern Philippines Prominent Investment Disputes - NAIA III Terminal
14 October 2011
2002-2008
2.7 7.3 3.5 9.2 6.6
14 October 2011